- Mahayuti alliance predicted to win 128-195 seats in Maharashtra Assembly.
- MVA projected to secure 69-155 seats, falling short of a majority.
- Small parties could be key players, with 2-25 seats in contention.
The 2024 Maharashtra Assembly elections have sparked intense speculation, with exit polls showing a narrow lead for the ruling Mahayuti alliance. Projections indicate the alliance, led by the BJP, is likely to secure a majority, with seat estimates ranging from 128 to 195.
However, the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), comprising Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT), and NCP, is expected to come up short, with predictions ranging from 69 to 155 seats.
Maharashtra 2024 Assembly Exit Polls: Mahayuti Ahead, MVA’s Hopes Dim
Several exit polls have given the advantage to Mahayuti, including those from prominent agencies like People’s Pulse, which predicts a large victory. However, some surveys have projected a surprise win for MVA, with a few polls indicating a potential upset.
The political climate has been charged, with significant figures like Devendra Fadnavis expressing confidence in Mahayuti’s victory and Nana Patole arguing that the MVA will triumph despite the predictions. These contrasting views highlight the unpredictability of Maharashtra’s election results.
Voter turnout has been a critical factor in the predictions, with increased participation in certain areas believed to favor the BJP. The state’s political scene has also been marked by high-profile battles such as Ajit Pawar’s face-off with his nephew and Devendra Fadnavis’s tough contest in Nagpur South West.
Local factors, including personal charisma and constituency-specific issues, are expected to play a significant role in influencing the election outcome.
The exit polls also shed light on the growing influence of smaller parties and independent candidates in Maharashtra. Their seats, though numerically few, could tip the balance in a closely contested race.
As Maharashtra heads toward the official results on November 23, political observers will be keenly watching how these smaller players impact the final seat count and the formation of the next state government.
With exit polls showing a narrow edge for Mahayuti but significant uncertainty from varying projections, the outcome of the Maharashtra elections remains in flux, making the final results on November 23 crucial.
“Exit polls are not exact polls” — Shaina NC on Mahayuti’s confidence in securing victory, as varying exit poll predictions show a tight race with MVA.
