The world‘s main rice producer, South Asia, is preparing for a delayed monsoon season that won’t start until next month and unpredictable rains from June to September.
Research has shown that extreme weather events, such as heatwaves, are 30 times more likely as a result of human-caused climate change. In the second half of April, record-high temperatures were reached in some areas of Bangladesh and India.
Additional Heat Waves
South Asia, the largest producer of rice in the world, is bracing for a monsoon that won’t arrive until next month and erratic rainfall from June to September, which might extend a heatwave and have an impact on rice output. There is a “high chance” that El Nino will replace La Nina in June. El Nino and La Nina are two opposing temperature patterns that occur in the Pacific Ocean.
An anticyclone over the Arabian Sea and the appearance of cyclone Fabien over the Indian Ocean have delayed the start of the monsoon. From June to September, South Asia is preparing for a delayed monsoon’s arrival and irregular rainfall that might extend a heatwave and reduce rice production.
- El Nino, the monsoon, and heat waves are all threatening South Asia.
- Reduced rice production and heat waves could result from a delayed monsoon.
- Anticyclones and Fabien may cause the monsoon to be delayed.
El Nino and La Nina are two climate patterns that conflict over the Pacific Ocean, with climate models throughout the world indicating a “high chance” that El Nino will replace La Nina in June.
The monsoon may be postponed, according to Mahesh Palawat, vice president of meteorology and climate change at Skymet Weather, because of an anticyclone over the Arabian Sea and the appearance of cyclone Fabien over the Indian Ocean.
In early June, the wind’s direction over the Bay of Bengal could potentially change. Scientist Raghu Murtugudde thinks that despite the early setbacks and El Nino, the monsoon could improve for the remainder of the season.
One of the worst weather phenomena, heat waves, is becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change in Southeast Asia. The Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal are warm, Vietnam is having its greatest temperature ever, and all of these factors will encourage a good monsoon.
The impact on crops might be controllable if the IMD’s forecast of a typical monsoon is accurate. Rainfall in India’s northern grain bowl has decreased as a result of the monsoon system changing its direction from northeasterly to western. The impact can be increased and humid heatwaves can result from erratic rainfall patterns.
