Saturday, 10 May 2025
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Stock Market

The Future of the S&P 500: Bear Market Risks Uncovered

  • Nasdaq is officially in a bear market; S&P 500 is down 14% and nearing the same.
  • Tesla and Alphabet earnings will strongly influence investor sentiment.
  • A potential Trump tariff deal could swing markets into bullish or bearish mode.

Wall Street faces a critical week as investors brace for key earnings from Tesla and Alphabet amid fears of an extended downturn. With the Nasdaq Composite in a bear market and the S&P 500 already in correction territory, the spotlight is on whether this downward trend will deepen.

The uncertainty surrounding President Trump‘s evolving tariff stance only adds to the volatility. If a deal is announced, markets could bounce, especially if the terms are favorable to global trade.

Bear Market Looms: Why This Week Could Define the U.S. Stock Market’s 2025 Trajectory

Tesla and Alphabet’s financial results are more than just earnings reports this week. They represent a broader gauge of investor confidence. As two of the “Magnificent Seven” megacap stocks, their steep declines this year have weighed heavily on major indices. Investors will be watching closely for revenue and profit figures. They will also look at forward guidance, especially concerning exposure to tariffs and rising borrowing costs.

President Trump’s anticipated announcement on new or revised tariffs has left the market guessing. A constructive tone or a favorable deal could temporarily lift stocks, while aggressive trade measures may spook markets even further. Traders are essentially in a holding pattern, waiting for clarity on whether economic pressure will ease or escalate.

The bond market is flashing its own warning signs. Rising Treasury yields threaten to push up borrowing costs across the board. This could put added pressure on both consumer spending and corporate earnings. This is particularly concerning for tech giants that rely on growth and capital investment. It’s a tricky balancing act between inflation, interest rates, and equity performance.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 flirts dangerously close to a 20% drop—marking official bear territory. Should it cross that threshold, investor psychology could shift further toward risk-off behavior. This may lead to defensive sector rotations or even increased cash allocations. This week might well determine whether the market stabilizes—or spirals.

With megacap earnings, tariff politics, and rising rates converging all at once, this is not a week for complacency. Whether the S&P 500 joins the Nasdaq in bear territory could depend on what unfolds in the next few days.

“History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” — Mark Twain

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